What’s the likelihood of HMRC opening an enquiry into your VGTR claim?

catherine • June 9, 2025
Catherine Davis, VGTR Specialists
catherine
June 9, 2025

It’s a question we’re hearing more often given we know HMRC investigations are on the rise, thanks to additional resourcing budgets at HMRC.

In our experience over the past two years, we’re seeing around 10–15% of VGTR claims being selected for enquiry.

That means most claims are processed without further questions.

But for that relatively small percentage, the enquiry process can delay your payment by at least several months, so it’s something to be aware of.


So what might possibly trigger an enquiry?  While there’s no hard and fast rules, we tend to see them being opened in these scenarios:

🚩 It’s your first VGTR claim (and the claim might be sizeable)
🚩 The claim is made via a Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV)
🚩 The costs look unusually high for the size/stage of the project
🚩 Supporting documentation is missing or inconsistent


Sadly we have no control over HMRC selecting your claim, but you can definitely reduce the likelihood by ensuring your claim is correctly calculated within HMRC tax legislation and prepared by someone who knows what they’re doing.



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